Friday, December 16, 2011

Dead Bear Cubs, Oh Noes!

The Global Warming scare mongers are at it again. 

They are using the spectre of cuddly polar bear cubs being devoured by cannibalistic adult male bears as a sign that Global Warming is upon us.

Aren't they the cutest!?!?!

The 'science' site Live Science ( recently asked the question

"Is Global Warming Driving Polar Bears to Cannibalism?"

Of course, the question begs the answer.  Of course it is, and how sad for the cuddly little polar cubs.

Well, maybe not.

The article starts out with the usual unsupported assertions and anecdotes:

A new article in the journal Arctic suggests that polar bear cannibalism — typically the predation of small bears or cubs by much larger adult males — is either much more commonplace than previously thought, or has lately become more common. In the paper, leading polar bear biologist Ian Stirling and nature photographer Jenny Ross detail three recent instances of the behavior among polar bears in Norway's Svalbard Archipelago, each of which was photographed from the decks of ecotourism and research boats anchored a few hundred yards away.

The evidence here is pretty slim: a few tourist boats took some pictures and this proves Global Warming.   By that standard topless women on spring break must also be caused by Global Warming. (Finally! A global warming theory I can get on board with!)

Serious science demands that there be more evidence than a few random pictures to draw a valid conclusion.  This fact is acknowledged in the article:

The scientists are asking: are polar bears more often resorting to cannibalism because of increased hunger and desperation, or are we simply more frequently observing a behavior that has always existed? They say it's an important question to answer, because it will reveal whether or not the Svalbard polar bear population has started to feel the heat from climate change.

In other words: is it simply random chance that we took a few pictures of dead polar bear cubs, or is it evidence of massive and deadly global warming.

Luckily for us, the article goes on to provide the answer to that very question.  After explaining that AGW leads to lack of food, and that lack of food leads to thinner bears, they note:

"However, the bears [in this study] were all in pretty good body condition. A fat bear wouldn't be very motivated to risk attacking another polar bear just for food. So, we should certainly be cautious in interpreting these observations and remain open to other explanations."

So there we have it.  Fat bears are eating baby bears and scaring the tourists.  But this has NOTHING to do with Global Warming.  These observations are anecdotal at best and they are the opposite of what theory says they should be.

Once again we see that AGW "science" is not science at all.  It is crude propaganda designed to tug on the hearts stings of gullible Americans.

This article should more properly be titled:

"Fat Polar Bears Eat Cubs and Make Tourists Cry"

Thursday, December 15, 2011

Romney the Inevitable...defeat

Mitt the Unelectable

I used to think that Barack Obama would be the death of this country.  But now I know better.

Mitt Romney will be the death of us.

Let's start with some basics.

Barack Obama has been a (predictably) a disaster is every dimension that you can measure.  The economy is in shambles, health care has been nationalized, the auto industry is owned by the government and churning out cars that are not selling, tax payer loans are being made to bankrupt 'green' companies that immediately go belly up, there are protesters in the streets, countries around the world are falling under the influence of our enemies (Islamist fanatics and the Chinese), the list goes on and on.

I assumed that the cumulative weight of all this failure and misguided policy would be the ruin of this country.  But, as Adam Smith noted, there is a great deal of ruin in a country.

It will take Obama more than a single term to destroy us.  If he can be unseated, then we have a chance to reverse some of the damage.  If he gets a second term, we are finished. And since the United States is the last best chance for mankind, as we go, so goes the rest of the world.

This election is the most important election in our history.  Nothing less than the fate of the world hangs in the balance.

And it appears we are about to nominate the ONE CANDIDATE that cannot beat Obama.

There are several reasons why Mitt will not win:

  • Mitt is not a conservative: his credentials are, at best, moderate.  Moderates do not win elections for Republicans.  The Republican base will not be energized, the message will be socialism lite, there will be no compelling difference between the candidates.  Low turnout and an apathetic base will sink Mitt.

  • Mitt is a Mormon: Once Mitt is the Republican nominee the media will suddenly be very interested in the 'Mormon Cult'.  You will see lots of special interest stories about the magic underwear, the chauvinism, and other oddities.  This will all be done in a manner to seem innocuous, but it will persuade many voters that Mormons cannot be trusted with the highest office.

  • Mitt invented Obamacare:  Obamacare is one of the least popular Obama programs, and it will provide a great deal of leverage for the Republicans to highlight the socialist policies of Obama.  Mitt is the ONLY candidate that cannot (and refuses to) denounce Obamacare.

  • Mitt is a manager, not a leader:  Mitt is great consultant, a good corporate leader.  He is not Ronald Reagan.  He cannot formulate and communicate the 'shining city on a hill' message that Reagan used to transform the world.  His message is more "better accounting methods in every pot"

So it seems that we are at a crossroads in history, and we will be choosing a Mormon Micro Manager to lead the charge against Chicago Jesus.

Obama will win handily.