Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Climate Change Theory is Dead. Again.

Once again a paper has been published claiming that the Climate Change computer models do not predict the future very well.  The paper claims that the last 18 years represent a 'hiatus' in the actual temperatures around the world, and that this pause is not predicted or replicated in any of the models.

This claim is not shocking -- many observers and scientists have been saying this for years, including some politicians like Ted Cruz.

What is shocking is who is admitting that the computer models are wrong and are predicting roughly 2.5 times the observed warming, and by extension, that the whole theory of man made global climate change is about to be blown into pieces. 

The latest paper on this comes from climate scientist Benjamin Santer.  Santer is famous for being once of the most vocal and aggressive climate doomsayers, having once threatened to punch noted skeptic Patrick Michaels in the mouth. 

So we are now at the point where  even the most ardent AGW supporters are admitting that the models do not align with the actual results from the past 18 years.  While there have been a number of attempts to 'fix' the data, or claim that 18 years is not a long enough time frame, the stubborn fact remains that the models do not accurately predict current conditions over the past 18 years. 

If there is a near-twenty year slowdown in warming that cannot be accounted for by the models, then there is zero chance the models are accurate 80-100 years out. 



Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Ignorant, Stupid, or Evil?

During the 19th Century, there was room for legitimate debate about the most effective way to organize society in order to create the best outcome.   Marx had recently published the Communist Manifesto, and Adam Smith's Capitalism was still struggling to lift the masses out of abject poverty.  It was an area in which reasonable people could differ -- would free markets do better than planned economies? Would capitalism prevail or communism?

Well, that debate is now over.  We are at the dawn of the 21st Century, and the answer is in: communism has failed and capitalism has exceeded everyone's wildest dreams of prosperity and abundance. 

And yet, there are those that still persist in hailing the virtues of socialism and communism.  This, despite the overwhelming evidence of the past 150 years.  How is this possible?

I can only think of three possible explanations:

Ignorance:  They are simply unaware that socialism has failed wherever it has been tried. They have never been told about the starvation, oppression, and death that follow in the wake of socialism.  They haven't read a history book., and therefore are not aware of the millions that died at the hands of their own governments, or the complete lack of consumer goods, or the fact that poor people in capitalist countries have so much food that the single biggest health risk in poor communities is obesity.

Stupidity:  They are aware that communism killed millions of people through starvation, and that vast networks of concentration camps and gulags were set up to hold hundreds of thousands of political prisoners, but they don't see the connection between the socialized medicine they are stumping for and the gulags.    They know that Che Guevara killed people, but see no link between his sociopathy and the murderous end stage of all communist governments.   They are aware of the fact that Venezuela is circling the drain after 17 years of socialism, but don't understand why Venezuelans are reduced to eating pigeons and rats due to communist mismanagement of the food supply.


Evil:  They know full well that the history of communism is a blood soaked trail of tears and the inevitable oppression of the people.   They are aware that North Koreans are fully 3" shorter than their South Korean brothers after a few generations of socialist starvation diets. They know that free college tuition is the first step into an economic and political nightmare that will result in the death of millions.  And yet they advocate for these policies anyway. 

So when college kids demand free tuition, and women demand free birth control, and when Antifa thugs roam the streets with hammer and sickle flags, ask yourself, are they Ignorant, Stupid, or Evil?

Monday, June 5, 2017

Scary Charts are Lies

The Climate Change Government Science Complex is in full panic mode now that President Trump has announced his intention to withdraw from the Paris Climate Accord

They continue to claim that this is the end of civilization as we know it, and that we are all going to die.  They reinforce these hysterical claims with scary charts that reinforce the idea that global temperatures are out of control. 

This is the latest fear mongering chart to show up on my Facebook and LinkedIn timeline:

Purporting to show that warming is completely out of control, this chart shows the change in average global temperature from 1880-2015.

There is no legend or other explanation of what temps are blue, and what temps are red, but the implication is clear: we are burning up!

This chart is then used to justify the expenditure of billions of dollars on green energy and the creation of a strangling thicket of regulations.

This chart lacks perspective. 

If you take the actual temperature values used to create this visual and graph them with reasonable parameters, you get a very different perspective.   


What this chart shows is that average  global temperatures have been remarkably stable over the past century+. 

Why do the alarmists use the scary red and blue chart to hide the actual data? 

Because if you saw the actual facts in the proper perspective, you would realize the utter fraud that is being perpetrated on the world by the Climate Change Charlatans. 

Monday, March 27, 2017

It's a Trap!


The failure of the Trumpcare bill is a huge blessing for the Republican Party and for conservatives.  And, not for nothing, the American people.

The ACA (Obamacare) is doomed to collapse.  It was, arguably, designed to collapse.    When it fails, the blame will lie squarely with the Democrats.  They will have created a huge disaster without any assistance from the Republicans.

The AHCA ‘Trumpcare’ bill would not have saved the ACA.  It would have tinkered with a few of the worst aspects, but it would not have solved for the internal contradictions that will create the inevitable collapse. 

If you mandate coverage for pre-existing conditions, it is not insurance.    Period.    The systems is doomed to fail as long as that provision remains a part of the law.

By installing a fatally flawed version of the ACA dressed up as Trumpcare, the failure of the system would be hung around the necks of the Republican Party.  The ACHA is stupid economically and politically.

Passing Trumpcare would have led the GOP in to a trap that ultimately ushered in nationalized healthcare.